![]() Interception Percentageįor interception rate, Rodgers has become more careful with the ball as his career has progressed. While the trendline is pretty stable, the yearly numbers are all over the place, making this a tough one to even guess. It’s possible he remains under his average for the 2023 season. Rodgers has dipped below for more than one year at a time twice now. His career average is 6.2% for touchdown rate. Rodgers’ trendline here is close enough to flat to basically call it that. Rodgers’ yards per completion has remained more stable if you care to look at the stats on Pro Football Reference. With completion percentage declining the last two seasons, it suggests that Rodgers’ passes aren’t necessarily traveling shorter distances (possible sign of age). An incomplete pass goes down as zero yards for that attempt, dragging the average down. Remember that yards per attempt is influenced by all passing attempts. This measure plus the last one are interesting to think about together. And he’s had plenty of years below his average (since it’s an average and all). So far, this is the most likely area to continue experiencing decline, as his 2022 performance of 64.6% is pretty close to his career average of 65.3%. Rodgers has had some volatility in this metric. The 20 seasons are a major factor for this. Interestingly, the trendline for completion percentage goes up. It’s hard to bank on it, but fingers crossed. It’d be nice (for Bills and Green Bay Packers fans) if this was the first time. Rodgers has had a couple of instances with two years straight of decline, but never three. Anything below 7.0 yards per attempt is more than one standard deviation from the mean, so again the 2022 season has some significance. This shows a similar trendline, and like the yards-per-game chart, has 2022 as one of his career worst. Yards per attempt should correlate better with Rodgers himself, rather than the team. Let’s turn our attention to more granular efficiency metrics. Maybe Rodgers just didn’t have to throw so much. ![]() One reason I don’t love per-game metrics, especially for passing yards, is that it downplays the rest of the team. I would say it’s highly doubtful he falls under 217 this season. Evidence of true decline? Or more reason to think he’ll bounce back? My guess is the latter. That means only the 2022 season is more than one standard deviation below the mean. The standard deviation for this measure is just over 21 yards with a mean average of 256.8. ![]() It’s ebbed and flowed right along, but usually comes back to the 270s or so. The trendline shows a slight decline over his career. For Aaron Rodgers, 2022 marked his career low in this measure at 217.4 yards. I’m not a huge fan of per-game metrics, but it’s a suitable place to start. We will eliminate his first three seasons, merely due to the low amount of attempts. Will there be charts? You know there will be. More specifically, averages, standard deviation, and trendlines. For this exercise, we’ll focus on rate stats over the years and do some mathematics. Rodgers has been in the league long enough to give his season averages some validity. I’m confident we’re all familiar with watching the man play, but at some point Father Time has to come calling, right? To see if there’s any indication of this starting to happen, we’ll do a stats dive. We’re used to seeing Rodgers in green, but paired with yellow rather than white. For our first Buffalo Bills opponent preview of the year, we’ll take a look at the current starting quarterback for the New York Jets, Aaron Rodgers.
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